Rest of Season Projection
ParkerCategoryShane
115K ←105
3.23ERA ←3.58
1.22WHIP ←1.29
6–13W →7–16
0SV0
Current Season
ParkerCategoryShane
74K ←53
2.21ERA ←2.45
1.07WHIP →1.02
6W6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Parker Messick
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.23, 0.87 below league — production is earned
Shane McClanahan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.12 above the ERA — regression coming
Parker Messick: 115 K / 3.23 ERA. Shane McClanahan: 105 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).