Rest of Season Projection
PaulCategoryTaylor
27K ←23
3.71ERA →3.68
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–5W2–4
0SV0
Current Season
PaulCategoryTaylor
16K ←12
3.33ERA →1.80
1.44WHIP →0.68
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paul Blackburn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.94)
Taylor Clarke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.193 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.04 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paul Blackburn: 27 K / 3.71 ERA. Taylor Clarke: 23 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).