Rest of Season Projection
PeteCategorySal
17HR ←15
44R44
47RBI →48
3SB →13
.261AVG ←.251
Current Season
PeteCategorySal
11HR →12
34R34
36RBI →37
2SB →10
.237AVG →.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Pete Alonso
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.267 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Sal Stewart
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.364, +0.049 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Pete Alonso: 17 HR / 44 R. Sal Stewart: 15 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).