MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Pierce Johnson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Tyler Alexander’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Pierce Johnson wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Tyler Alexander wins 1 (ERA); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Tyler Alexander
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
11.4%
Tyler Alexander
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
20.7%
Tyler Alexander
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
35.1%
Tyler Alexander
32.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
39.2%
Tyler Alexander
35.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
11.8%
Tyler Alexander
3.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
.366
Tyler Alexander
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Pierce Johnson
2.873.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
Tyler Alexander
2.873.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.28
WHIPlower is better
Pierce Johnson
1.161.45
now 1.23
1.24
Tyler Alexander
1.161.45
now 1.38
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
4026.60
now 20
15
Tyler Alexander
4026.60
now 21
11
Winshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.0002.80
now 2
12
Tyler Alexander
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
01
Tyler Alexander
.0003.40
now 2
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
BuyTyler Alexander — buy.conf 0.85
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