MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Randy Dobnak
KC · P
Change to
Zack Kelly
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Randy Dobnak.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Zack Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Randy Dobnak wins 1 categories (K); Zack Kelly wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Randy Dobnak
92.4
Zack Kelly
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Randy Dobnak
8.6%
Zack Kelly
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Randy Dobnak
13.2%
Zack Kelly
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Randy Dobnak
31.3%
Zack Kelly
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Randy Dobnak
43.9%
Zack Kelly
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Randy Dobnak
4.9%
Zack Kelly
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Randy Dobnak
.329
Zack Kelly
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Randy Dobnak
2.834.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.70
Zack Kelly
2.834.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.31
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Randy Dobnak
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.24
Zack Kelly
1.041.95
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Randy Dobnak
4021.60
now 2
16
Zack Kelly
4021.60
now 14
15
Winshigher is better
Randy Dobnak
.000.480
now 0
00
Zack Kelly
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighRandy Dobnak — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeZack Kelly — hold.conf 0.50
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