Rest of Season Projection
ReidCategoryZack
113K ←83
2.86ERA ←3.22
1.16WHIP →1.13
2–4W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
ReidCategoryZack
82K ←40
4.63ERA →2.27
1.18WHIP →0.85
2W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Reid Detmers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.86, 1.24 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.22 is 1.00 above the ERA — regression coming
Reid Detmers: 115 K / 2.85 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 84 K / 3.22 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).