Rest of Season Projection
DrewCategoryZack
79K →80
2.89ERA ←3.24
1.06WHIP ←1.13
4–9W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
DrewCategoryZack
55K ←40
3.36ERA →2.27
1.02WHIP →0.85
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drew Rasmussen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.89, 1.21 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.24 is 1.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Drew Rasmussen: 79 K / 2.89 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 80 K / 3.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).