MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Rhett Lowder wins 2 (ERA, W); Ryne Nelson wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
93.6
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
8.3%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
17.2%
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
27.1%
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Rhett Lowder
38.3%
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Rhett Lowder
9.2%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Rhett Lowder
.347
Ryne Nelson
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Rhett Lowder
4.585.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
4.80
Ryne Nelson
4.585.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.85
WHIPlower is better
Rhett Lowder
1.091.55
now 1.45
1.43
Ryne Nelson
1.091.55
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Rhett Lowder
4069.20
now 31
9
Ryne Nelson
4069.20
now 52
11
Winshigher is better
Rhett Lowder
.0004.20
now 3
11
Ryne Nelson
.0004.20
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellRhett Lowder — sell.conf 0.87
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.90
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