MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tim Mayza.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tim Mayza wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Tim Mayza
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Tim Mayza
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Tim Mayza
24.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Tim Mayza
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Tim Mayza
45.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
Tim Mayza
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
.361
Tim Mayza
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Richard Lovelady
3.113.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
Tim Mayza
3.113.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
3.33
WHIPlower is better
Richard Lovelady
.9002.05
now 1.75
1.26
Tim Mayza
.9002.05
now 0.99
1.20

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
4031.60
now 21
14
Tim Mayza
4031.60
now 26
15
Winshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
.0002.80
now 2
12
Tim Mayza
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
.0005.60
now 4
23
Tim Mayza
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
BuyTim Mayza — buy.conf 0.83
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