Rest of Season Projection
KevinCategoryRichard
28K →33
3.69ERA ←3.75
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–7W ←2–4
1–5SV →4–8
Current Season
KevinCategoryRichard
19K →21
2.67ERA ←3.38
0.81WHIP ←1.75
3W ←2
2SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.219 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
Richard Lovelady
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.17)
Kevin Kelly: 28 K / 3.69 ERA. Richard Lovelady: 33 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).