MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tony Santillan
Tony Santillan
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tony Santillan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tony Santillan wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Tony Santillan
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Tony Santillan
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Tony Santillan
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Tony Santillan
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Tony Santillan
46.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
Tony Santillan
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
.361
Tony Santillan
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Richard Lovelady
2.516.43
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
Tony Santillan
2.516.43
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.56
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Richard Lovelady
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.26
Tony Santillan
1.041.95
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
4027.60
now 21
17
Tony Santillan
4027.60
now 22
20
Winshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
.0002.80
now 2
12
Tony Santillan
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
.0005.40
now 4
24
Tony Santillan
.0005.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTony Santillan — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet