Rest of Season Projection
RicoCategoryVictor
32K →33
3.65ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–6W ←1–3
3–5SV →5–9
Current Season
RicoCategoryVictor
28K ←16
0.71ERA ←8.00
0.63WHIP ←2.11
3W ←1
3SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Rico Garcia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.131 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.58 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
Victor Vodnik
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.397 elevated and unstable — the 8.00 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.49 is +0.39 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Rico Garcia: 32 K / 3.65 ERA. Victor Vodnik: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).