MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Ryan Yarbrough
Ryan Yarbrough
NYY · P
Change to
Tommy Nance
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tommy Nance.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Ryan Yarbrough’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tommy Nance wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Ryan Yarbrough wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ryan Yarbrough
87.4
Tommy Nance
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ryan Yarbrough
11.1%
Tommy Nance
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ryan Yarbrough
17.3%
Tommy Nance
25.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ryan Yarbrough
27.5%
Tommy Nance
35.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ryan Yarbrough
25.3%
Tommy Nance
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ryan Yarbrough
3.7%
Tommy Nance
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ryan Yarbrough
.288
Tommy Nance
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ryan Yarbrough
3.204.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.66
3.45
Tommy Nance
3.204.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.68
4.07
WHIPlower is better
Ryan Yarbrough
1.021.48
now 1.12
1.38
Tommy Nance
1.021.48
now 1.18
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ryan Yarbrough
4034.80
now 14
4
Tommy Nance
4034.80
now 26
5
Winshigher is better
Ryan Yarbrough
.000.480
now 0
00
Tommy Nance
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyRyan Yarbrough — buy.conf 0.79
Hold · leans sellTommy Nance — hold.conf 0.60
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