MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ryne Nelson wins 2 (K, WHIP); Walker Buehler wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Walker Buehler
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Walker Buehler
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Walker Buehler
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Walker Buehler
25.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Walker Buehler
42.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
Walker Buehler
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ryne Nelson
.349
Walker Buehler
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ryne Nelson
4.155.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.84
Walker Buehler
4.155.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.88
4.37
WHIPlower is better
Ryne Nelson
1.111.47
now 1.19
1.28
Walker Buehler
1.111.47
now 1.32
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ryne Nelson
4057.60
now 52
45
Walker Buehler
4057.60
now 43
44
Winshigher is better
Ryne Nelson
.0005.20
now 2
12
Walker Buehler
.0005.20
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.89
SellWalker Buehler — sell.conf 0.68
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