MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 13, 2026
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Mahle.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Walker Buehler’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tyler Mahle wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Walker Buehler wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Tyler Mahle
92.4
Walker Buehler
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Tyler Mahle
9.7%
Walker Buehler
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Tyler Mahle
21.7%
Walker Buehler
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Tyler Mahle
28.6%
Walker Buehler
25.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Tyler Mahle
34.9%
Walker Buehler
42.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Tyler Mahle
7.3%
Walker Buehler
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Tyler Mahle
.317
Walker Buehler
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Tyler Mahle
3.416.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
4.16
Walker Buehler
3.416.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.88
4.35
WHIPlower is better
Tyler Mahle
1.231.63
now 1.54
1.39
Walker Buehler
1.231.63
now 1.32
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Tyler Mahle
4071
now 57
63
Walker Buehler
4071
now 43
51
Winshigher is better
Tyler Mahle
.0006.60
now 1
11
Walker Buehler
.0006.60
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowTyler Mahle — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellWalker Buehler — sell.conf 0.66
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