MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Sean Sullivan
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Sean Sullivan wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Seth Lugo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Sean Sullivan
87.9
Seth Lugo
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Sean Sullivan
7.8%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Sean Sullivan
14.6%
Seth Lugo
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Sean Sullivan
28.0%
Seth Lugo
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Sean Sullivan
28.8%
Seth Lugo
43.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Sean Sullivan
6.8%
Seth Lugo
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Sean Sullivan
.280
Seth Lugo
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Sean Sullivan
26.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
4.10
Seth Lugo
26.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.90
WHIPlower is better
Sean Sullivan
.9001.65
now 0.67
1.30
Seth Lugo
.9001.65
now 1.35
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Sean Sullivan
4093
now 2
31
Seth Lugo
4093
now 60
67
Winshigher is better
Sean Sullivan
.0004.20
now 0
00
Seth Lugo
.0004.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowSean Sullivan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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