Rest of Season Projection
SladeCategoryTyler
76K →94
4.33ERA →4.05
1.37WHIP ←1.38
3–6W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
SladeCategoryTyler
50K →57
5.25ERA ←6.04
1.49WHIP ←1.54
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Slade Cecconi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.329 elevated and unstable — the 4.83 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.46 is +0.36 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Slade Cecconi: 77 K / 4.33 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).