MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Warren
Will Warren
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Sonny Gray.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Will Warren’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Sonny Gray wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Will Warren wins 1 (K); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Sonny Gray
91.8
Will Warren
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Sonny Gray
10.8%
Will Warren
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Sonny Gray
21.1%
Will Warren
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Sonny Gray
33.6%
Will Warren
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Sonny Gray
36.6%
Will Warren
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Sonny Gray
7.1%
Will Warren
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Sonny Gray
.305
Will Warren
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Sonny Gray
2.654.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.06
3.80
Will Warren
2.654.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.22
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Sonny Gray
1.131.40
now 1.20
1.28
Will Warren
1.131.40
now 1.20
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Sonny Gray
40105.40
now 41
62
Will Warren
40105.40
now 70
87
Winshigher is better
Sonny Gray
3.6014.40
now 6
612
Will Warren
3.6014.40
now 7
612

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuySonny Gray — buy.conf 0.69
Hold · steadyWill Warren — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet