Rest of Season Projection
TaylorCategoryTony
35K →39
3.71ERA ←3.75
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W1–2
1–6SV2–4
Current Season
TaylorCategoryTony
17K →22
4.15ERA ←5.56
1.57WHIP →1.50
1W1
2SV2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Taylor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — the 4.79 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.37 is +0.27 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Tony Santillan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.88)
Taylor Rogers: 35 K / 3.71 ERA. Tony Santillan: 39 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).