MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CIN · C
Change to
Yainer Diaz
HOU · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Yainer Diaz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and average. Tyler Stephenson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Yainer Diaz wins 2 categories (RBI, AVG); Tyler Stephenson wins 1 (HR); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Tyler Stephenson
91.1
Yainer Diaz
87.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Tyler Stephenson
47.2%
Yainer Diaz
30.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Tyler Stephenson
11.1%
Yainer Diaz
4.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Tyler Stephenson
20.9%
Yainer Diaz
39.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Tyler Stephenson
11.6%
Yainer Diaz
12.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Tyler Stephenson
.336
Yainer Diaz
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Tyler Stephenson
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .193
.230
Yainer Diaz
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .238
.253

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Tyler Stephenson
59
now 4
7
Yainer Diaz
59
now 2
5
Runshigher is better
Tyler Stephenson
2017.20
now 11
14
Yainer Diaz
2017.20
now 7
14
RBIhigher is better
Tyler Stephenson
2032.20
now 17
22
Yainer Diaz
2032.20
now 14
27
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Tyler Stephenson
.0001.20
now 0
0
Yainer Diaz
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyTyler Stephenson — buy.conf 0.64
Hold · wait & seeYainer Diaz — hold.conf 0.50
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