Rest of Season Projection
JonahCategoryTyler
6HR →10
30R ←21
37RBI ←32
0SB0
.213AVG.212
Current Season
JonahCategoryTyler
2HR →4
9R →11
11RBI →17
0SB0
.197AVG ←.193
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jonah Heim
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.283)
Tyler Stephenson
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.242 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jonah Heim: 6 HR / 30 R. Tyler Stephenson: 10 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).