Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryJonah
5HR →6
27R →30
34RBI →37
3SB ←0
.228AVG ←.213
Current Season
ConnorCategoryJonah
0HR →2
8R →9
10RBI →11
1SB ←0
.258AVG ←.197
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Jonah Heim
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.283)
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Jonah Heim: 6 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).