Rest of Season Projection
VaughnCategoryWilli
8HR ←7
26R →43
51RBI ←34
0SB →7
.255AVG ←.223
Current Season
VaughnCategoryWilli
3HR ←2
12R →24
24RBI ←19
0SB →4
.238AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Vaughn Grissom
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.341)
Willi Castro
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Vaughn Grissom: 8 HR / 26 R. Willi Castro: 7 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).