MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 3, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 1 (WHIP); Joey Cantillo wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Joey Cantillo
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.6%
Joey Cantillo
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
18.5%
Joey Cantillo
24.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.1%
Joey Cantillo
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
40.2%
Joey Cantillo
39.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.0%
Joey Cantillo
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.320
Joey Cantillo
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.294.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.26
Joey Cantillo
3.294.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.57
4.01
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.301.54
now 1.47
1.37
Joey Cantillo
1.301.54
now 1.40
1.42

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4072.80
now 39
0
Joey Cantillo
4072.80
now 52
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0007
now 5
0–0
Joey Cantillo
.0007
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyJoey Cantillo — hold.conf 0.60
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