MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Logan Henderson
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Logan Henderson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Logan Henderson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 0 (none); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Logan Henderson
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Logan Henderson
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
19.1%
Logan Henderson
30.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.4%
Logan Henderson
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
41.7%
Logan Henderson
37.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.4%
Logan Henderson
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.322
Logan Henderson
.251
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
24.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.29
Logan Henderson
24.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.74
2.60
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
.9001.66
now 1.47
1.35
Logan Henderson
.9001.66
now 1.04
0.99

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4051.40
now 39
8
Logan Henderson
4051.40
now 30
14
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0006.60
now 5
11
Logan Henderson
.0006.60
now 2
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
BuyLogan Henderson — buy.conf 0.92
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