MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 (WHIP, W); Mike Burrows wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.1
Mike Burrows
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Mike Burrows
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.4%
Mike Burrows
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
28.9%
Mike Burrows
32.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
48.0%
Mike Burrows
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Mike Burrows
9.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.360
Mike Burrows
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.725.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
5.00
Mike Burrows
3.725.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.47
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.331.54
now 1.47
1.40
Mike Burrows
1.331.54
now 1.45
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4097.80
now 39
68
Mike Burrows
4097.80
now 54
81
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00014.20
now 5
511
Mike Burrows
.00014.20
now 3
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellMike Burrows — hold.conf 0.60
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