MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Grant Holmes.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Grant Holmes wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Grant Holmes
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.5%
Grant Holmes
12.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.5%
Grant Holmes
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.5%
Grant Holmes
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.6%
Grant Holmes
43.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.0%
Grant Holmes
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.344
Grant Holmes
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.645.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.72
Grant Holmes
3.645.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.95
4.49
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.261.54
now 1.47
1.40
Grant Holmes
1.261.54
now 1.33
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4060.20
now 39
35
Grant Holmes
4060.20
now 53
46
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.4007.60
now 5
36
Grant Holmes
.4007.60
now 3
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.84
Sell HighGrant Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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