MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Martín Pérez
Martín Pérez
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 (K, W); Martín Pérez wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Martín Pérez
90.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.4%
Martín Pérez
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.5%
Martín Pérez
19.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.9%
Martín Pérez
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.2%
Martín Pérez
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Martín Pérez
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.347
Martín Pérez
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
25.56
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.77
Martín Pérez
25.56
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.79
4.27
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
.9001.63
now 1.47
1.39
Martín Pérez
.9001.63
now 1.06
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4057.60
now 39
52
Martín Pérez
4057.60
now 42
48
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00010.40
now 5
48
Martín Pérez
.00010.40
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.86
Sell HighMartín Pérez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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