Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryKodai
73K →86
4.75ERA →4.10
1.37WHIP →1.30
5–11W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AaronCategoryKodai
39K ←23
4.20ERA ←9.00
1.47WHIP ←1.95
5W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Civale
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.10 +1.00 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kodai Senga
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.74)
Civale projects for 73 K / 4.75 ERA against Senga's 86 K / 4.10 ERA. The ERA and K gaps are clear. Sell Civale's production; hold Senga.