MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kodai Senga.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Steven Matz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kodai Senga
96.2
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
13.1%
Steven Matz
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
25.3%
Steven Matz
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
38.9%
Steven Matz
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
13.3%
Steven Matz
12.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kodai Senga
.354
Steven Matz
.356
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kodai Senga
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.10
Steven Matz
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.00
WHIPlower is better
Kodai Senga
.9602.23
now 1.95
1.30
Steven Matz
.9602.23
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kodai Senga
4048.20
now 23
41
Steven Matz
4048.20
now 35
35
Winshigher is better
Kodai Senga
.0007
now 0
00
Steven Matz
.0007
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.55
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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