MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Steven Matz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Anthony Kay’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Steven Matz wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Anthony Kay wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Anthony Kay
95.8
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
10.9%
Steven Matz
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
18.6%
Steven Matz
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
33.1%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
39.5%
Steven Matz
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
8.8%
Steven Matz
12.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Anthony Kay
.346
Steven Matz
.356
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Anthony Kay
3.285.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.78
Steven Matz
3.285.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.00
WHIPlower is better
Anthony Kay
1.171.47
now 1.40
1.38
Steven Matz
1.171.47
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Anthony Kay
4047.60
now 42
32
Steven Matz
4047.60
now 35
35
Winshigher is better
Anthony Kay
.8006.20
now 5
25
Steven Matz
.8006.20
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.86
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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