MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carmen Mlodzinski wins 2 (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Steven Matz
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.4%
Steven Matz
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.4%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.9%
Steven Matz
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.0%
Steven Matz
12.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.337
Steven Matz
.356
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.265.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.58
Steven Matz
3.265.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.00
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.171.49
now 1.42
1.37
Steven Matz
1.171.49
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4051.60
now 46
38
Steven Matz
4051.60
now 35
35
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.8006.20
now 4
24
Steven Matz
.8006.20
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.77
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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