Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV n/a
Aaron Civale wins 2 (WHIP, W); Luis Severino wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Luis Severino
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.3%
Luis Severino
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.2%
Luis Severino
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
29.4%
Luis Severino
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
47.2%
Luis Severino
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.2%
Luis Severino
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.354
Luis Severino
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.845.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.88
Luis Severino
3.845.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.14
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.321.54
now 1.47
1.39
Luis Severino
1.321.54
now 1.47
1.41
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4096.40
now 39
59
Luis Severino
4096.40
now 65
80
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00011.80
now 5
4–9
Luis Severino
.00011.80
now 2
2–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · steadyLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60