Who's more valuable, rest of season
Yusei Kikuchi.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Yusei Kikuchi wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Yusei Kikuchi
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Yusei Kikuchi
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.6%
Yusei Kikuchi
23.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.1%
Yusei Kikuchi
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.1%
Yusei Kikuchi
42.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Yusei Kikuchi
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.340
Yusei Kikuchi
.340
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.536.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.64
Yusei Kikuchi
3.536.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.81
4.18
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.201.69
now 1.47
1.39
Yusei Kikuchi
1.201.69
now 1.58
1.31
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4044.60
now 39
27
Yusei Kikuchi
4044.60
now 33
35
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0007
now 5
2–5
Yusei Kikuchi
.0007
now 0
0–0
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.80
Hold · wait & seeYusei Kikuchi — hold.conf 0.55