MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryne Nelson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ryne Nelson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.3%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.2%
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
29.4%
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
47.2%
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.2%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.354
Ryne Nelson
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.925.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.89
Ryne Nelson
3.925.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.77
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.081.58
now 1.47
1.39
Ryne Nelson
1.081.58
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4078.20
now 39
61
Ryne Nelson
4078.20
now 52
67
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00013.20
now 5
410
Ryne Nelson
.00013.20
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.86
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