Who's more valuable, rest of season
Connor Prielipp.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Connor Prielipp wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Connor Prielipp
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.3%
Connor Prielipp
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.2%
Connor Prielipp
22.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
29.4%
Connor Prielipp
31.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
47.2%
Connor Prielipp
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.2%
Connor Prielipp
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.354
Connor Prielipp
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.835.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.89
Connor Prielipp
3.835.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.13
4.24
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.281.54
now 1.47
1.39
Connor Prielipp
1.281.54
now 1.35
1.37
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4088.20
now 39
61
Connor Prielipp
4088.20
now 35
73
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00013.60
now 5
4–10
Connor Prielipp
.00013.60
now 1
1–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellConnor Prielipp — hold.conf 0.60