MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYY · RF
Change to
Portrait of Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOS · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Judge.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Aaron Judge wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, AVG); Jarren Duran wins 1 (SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.1
Jarren Duran
89.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.3%
Jarren Duran
38.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
21.7%
Jarren Duran
10.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
25.8%
Jarren Duran
34.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
13.8%
Jarren Duran
17.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.415
Jarren Duran
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .248
.228
Jarren Duran
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .219
.205

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
522.60
now 17
5
Jarren Duran
522.60
now 10
3
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2053.40
now 43
23
Jarren Duran
2053.40
now 29
17
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2045.60
now 38
20
Jarren Duran
2045.60
now 33
19
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
.20012.80
now 5
3
Jarren Duran
.20012.80
now 10
6
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.80
SellJarren Duran — sell.conf 0.58
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