Rest of Season Projection
ByronCategoryJarren
18HR ←11
56R ←40
38RBI →45
7SB →14
.221AVG ←.212
Current Season
ByronCategoryJarren
17HR ←10
40R ←29
27RBI →33
5SB →10
.258AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Byron Buxton
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Byron Buxton: 18 HR / 56 R. Jarren Duran: 11 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).