Rest of Season Projection
CodyCategoryJarren
9HR →11
49R ←40
50RBI ←45
7SB →14
.272AVG ←.212
Current Season
CodyCategoryJarren
8HR →10
37R ←29
38RBI ←33
5SB →10
.271AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cody Bellinger
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.374, +0.059 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cody Bellinger: 9 HR / 49 R. Jarren Duran: 11 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).