Rest of Season Projection
AbnerCategoryJesse
40K →53
3.69ERA ←3.90
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–7W →5–14
6–10SV ←0
Current Season
AbnerCategoryJesse
23K →30
3.80ERA ←3.82
1.17WHIP ←1.27
3W →5
5SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Abner Uribe
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.86)
Jesse Scholtens
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.96 is 1.14 above the ERA — regression coming
Abner Uribe: 40 K / 3.69 ERA. Jesse Scholtens: 53 K / 3.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).