Rest of Season Projection
JesseCategoryTrevor
53K ←42
3.90ERA →3.69
1.25WHIP →1.24
5–14W ←0–0
0SV →9–17
Current Season
JesseCategoryTrevor
30K ←27
3.82ERA ←4.29
1.27WHIP →1.05
5W ←0
0SV →8
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jesse Scholtens
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.96 is 1.14 above the ERA — regression coming
Trevor Megill
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.62)
Jesse Scholtens: 54 K / 3.90 ERA. Trevor Megill: 43 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).