Rest of Season Projection
JesseCategoryRobert
53K ←35
3.90ERA →3.66
1.25WHIP →1.24
5–14W ←4–8
0SV →4–7
Current Season
JesseCategoryRobert
30K ←22
3.82ERA →0.71
1.27WHIP →0.83
5W ←4
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jesse Scholtens
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.96 is 1.14 above the ERA — regression coming
Robert Suarez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.95 is 2.34 above the ERA — regression coming
Jesse Scholtens: 54 K / 3.90 ERA. Robert Suarez: 35 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).