Rest of Season Projection
JeffCategoryRobert
63K ←38
3.67ERA →3.65
1.24WHIP1.24
5–10W4–9
6–11SV ←5–9
Current Season
JeffCategoryRobert
45K ←22
6.31ERA →0.71
1.75WHIP →0.83
4W4
5SV ←4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jeff Hoffman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.516 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Robert Suarez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.232 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.76 is 2.08 above the ERA — regression coming
Jeff Hoffman: 63 K / 3.67 ERA. Robert Suarez: 38 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).