Rest of Season Projection
LouisCategoryRobert
54K ←38
3.51ERA ←3.65
1.23WHIP ←1.24
2–4W →4–9
9–16SV ←5–9
Current Season
LouisCategoryRobert
42K ←22
0.29ERA ←0.71
1.03WHIP →0.83
2W →4
8SV ←4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Louis Varland
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.81)
Robert Suarez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.232 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.76 is 2.08 above the ERA — regression coming
Louis Varland: 54 K / 3.51 ERA. Robert Suarez: 38 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).