MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Devin Williams
Devin Williams
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Jeff Hoffman
Jeff Hoffman
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jeff Hoffman.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Devin Williams’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jeff Hoffman wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Devin Williams wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Devin Williams
93.9
Jeff Hoffman
96.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
17.5%
Jeff Hoffman
19.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
30.0%
Jeff Hoffman
34.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Devin Williams
38.7%
Jeff Hoffman
38.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
30.1%
Jeff Hoffman
33.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
5.4%
Jeff Hoffman
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Devin Williams
.282
Jeff Hoffman
.283
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Devin Williams
2.147.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Jeff Hoffman
2.147.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.31
3.33
WHIPlower is better
Devin Williams
.9401.98
now 1.55
1.24
Jeff Hoffman
.9401.98
now 1.75
1.17

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Devin Williams
4052.60
now 31
29
Jeff Hoffman
4052.60
now 45
26
Winshigher is better
Devin Williams
1.204.80
now 3
23
Jeff Hoffman
1.204.80
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
Devin Williams
.00010.40
now 8
58
Jeff Hoffman
.00010.40
now 5
24
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Buy LowJeff Hoffman — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.83
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