Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryJeff
49K →63
3.67ERA3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →5–10
19–36SV ←6–11
Current Season
BryanCategoryJeff
29K →45
2.22ERA ←6.31
1.07WHIP ←1.75
1W →4
16SV ←5
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Baker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.83 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Jeff Hoffman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.516 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Bryan Baker: 49 K / 3.67 ERA. Jeff Hoffman: 63 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).