Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryChris
73K →84
5.12ERA →4.54
1.45WHIP →1.43
2–5W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AdrianCategoryChris
35K35
5.59ERA ←6.90
1.56WHIP ←1.71
2W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Houser
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.67 +1.57 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chris Paddack
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Adrian Houser: 73 K / 5.12 ERA. Chris Paddack: 84 K / 4.54 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).