MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of David Peterson
David Peterson
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Adrian Houser wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); David Peterson wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Houser
95.5
David Peterson
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
8.5%
David Peterson
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
15.5%
David Peterson
18.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
25.2%
David Peterson
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
41.0%
David Peterson
43.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
9.0%
David Peterson
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Houser
.345
David Peterson
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Houser
4.395.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
4.73
David Peterson
4.395.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.18
4.89
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Houser
1.301.67
now 1.56
1.38
David Peterson
1.301.67
now 1.59
1.47

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Houser
4075.60
now 35
40
David Peterson
4075.60
now 56
64
Winshigher is better
Adrian Houser
.0005.20
now 2
13
David Peterson
.0005.20
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdrian Houser — sell.conf 0.84
SellDavid Peterson — sell.conf 0.90
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