MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of David Peterson
David Peterson
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

David Peterson wins 2 (K, ERA); Nick Lodolo wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Peterson
92.2
Nick Lodolo
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Peterson
9.9%
Nick Lodolo
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Peterson
18.3%
Nick Lodolo
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Peterson
29.4%
Nick Lodolo
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Peterson
43.0%
Nick Lodolo
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Peterson
6.6%
Nick Lodolo
7.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Peterson
.352
Nick Lodolo
.374
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Peterson
4.675.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.18
4.89
Nick Lodolo
4.675.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.42
WHIPlower is better
David Peterson
1.281.68
now 1.59
1.47
Nick Lodolo
1.281.68
now 1.37
1.42

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Peterson
4080.80
now 56
64
Nick Lodolo
4080.80
now 22
52
Winshigher is better
David Peterson
.4007.60
now 3
24
Nick Lodolo
.4007.60
now 2
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellDavid Peterson — sell.conf 0.90
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
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