Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategorySeranthony
45K ←43
3.61ERA ←3.73
1.23WHIP ←1.24
4–8W ←3–7
1–2SV →12–23
Current Season
AdrianCategorySeranthony
35K ←28
3.90ERA ←3.97
1.07WHIP ←1.15
4W ←3
1SV →11
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Morejon
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.71 sits 1.39 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Seranthony Domínguez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.14 is 1.23 above the ERA — regression coming
Adrian Morejon: 45 K / 3.61 ERA. Seranthony Domínguez: 43 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).